Sunday, June 28, 2020

Why Re-opening Now Is So Wrong

The country has been in the process of re-opening for a month now and you might have a variety of thoughts on it ranging the gambit...

  • It's right to re-open fully because 
    • it's a hoax
    • it only effects the old so they can shelter in place while the rest of us enjoy our lives
    • "there are worse things than dying" (Texas Lt Gov)
  • It's right to re-open a little because 
    • I want to support my local businesses and buy things from them.
    • it's safe enough for us to do a little as long as we're cautious
    • we should find the happy medium between lockdown and completely open
  • It's wrong to re-open because
    • we're not ready yet and we're going to see cases spike
    • we're putting people at risk by re-opening too soon
    • we should be prioritizing essential services as we re-open rather than the cosmetic 

I would argue that it's absolutely the wrong time to re-open but it's far worse than what is indicated as reasons above.  So, first, there's the obvious things that are wrong with re-opening:

If people are following the restrictions, starting to re-open increases the risk that those people are taking.  The whole point is for people to engage in riskier behavior in an effort to get the free market going again.  Let me repeat that, the WHOLE point of re-opening is for people to engage in riskier behavior in an effort to get the free market going again.  The point is not that it's safe to engage in this behavior or to avoid economic disaster... we'll return to that second point later.

That said, people already were not taking the situation as seriously as they should have for quite a long time, if ever.  By starting to re-open, many are taking the government's actions as indicating that it's safe now, so they are relaxing their adherence to the rules as well.  Which means that people are going to start engaging in much more risky behavior.  Even if we were ready for the types of activities as the government is suggesting, the people engaging in riskier behavior are going to engage in, well, riskier behavior.  And in this scenario, what others do VERY MUCH impacts everybody else.  If someone else gets sick because they had a party, and then they go grocery shopping and touch something and put it back on the shelf, guess what happens?  And that's just touching something, it gets worse if they're not wearing a mask at the grocery story or going to a restaurant (where, obviously, they wouldn't be wearing a mask).

And with all this risky behavior, we're going to increase the risk by increasing the population that is getting sick.  The more people get sick, the higher the risk factor becomes.

Ok, let's move off the whole people being risky thing.

Next up, we're essentially forcing people to work.  There's the obvious where people who have been out of work because their business was closed due to COVID-19, either have to work or be kicked off unemployment.  So... essentially, we're saying that the economy is more important than people's lives.  

Businesses are facing a similar situation where they need to open up or risk losing more money.  It's hard to say "it's not safe so I'm going to risk my business based on the potential that it could do harm to the community."  I get that.  And your landlord or debt-holders are unlikely to agree to postpone payments or forgive payments if the government isn't forcing you to not provide your full services.  I'm SO thankful that the business I have responsibility for is so small and has no debt and no landlord.  I don't have to make this decision.  I don't know what I would do.  Worse yet, as a business owner/manager, if I were to follow the ideals of not taking the risk, if I were to shut down, I would be  entering the same job market and problems that all other workers are facing in the above paragraph.  

But this where it becomes far FAR worse than it at first seems.  This is not just simply a fight to get the economy moving again, because the federal government could provide aid to keep people going through this all.  This is a fight over whether we should let the government do its job.  As long as we say "oh, it's fine for you to open your business" and "it's fine for people to go back to work" we don't have to tackle the question of "what else can we do?"  We don't have to say "should we help people more than we have been?"  We don't have to say "we can get through this, together" anymore.  

And the federal government CAN help us get through this.  We borrow money all the time for wars.  We borrow money all the time to pay for tax cuts for the wealthy.  We borrow money to pay for tax cuts for big business (including banks... yes, banks and Wall Street are another form of business and we've bailed them out recently).  We could come together and provide basic income, temporarily, to all individuals (or limit it to those who did not make over a certain amount last year, through wages or otherwise).  We could come together and provide programs that would help support businesses in this time of need.  We could come together and decide that our economy AND our people are important to us and we should support both, because we can support both.  We could come together.  But as long as we say "we don't need to do this thing, everything's fine," we won't....

oh, and the further complication is that local governments and state governments are re-opening because they too need support.  Many are not able to run up the debt that the federal government can and therefore, without the support being provided by the federal government, cannot maintain the support they need to provide to their citizens.  

Stay safe.  Stay sane.  Stay informed.  Stay companionate.

Monday, March 2, 2020

And then there were 4...

Buttigieg, Klobuchar and Steyer all dropped out in the last 2 days (well, Klobuchar's plan to drop out is announced but not yet actually completed).  With that in mind, it's time to update the summary of Democratic "contestants" as Bloomberg called the stage:

Before we begin, yes, there are actually 5 Democrats still running, but one of them is polling between 0 and 2% so I'm going to ignore her for the sake of this discussion, sorry Gabbard fans.

Biden: If you're one of those people who thinks that the moderates will overcome Trump and that people who are disgusted with Trump won't come out to vote for a progressive, Biden's the one for you.  He's been running for President for almost as long as I've been alive.  He's made a big deal of having worked with Republicans and hasn't ruled out having a Republican as a VP running mate.  By the way, if you want to consider how well it'll go "working with Republicans", look at who we have leading the Senate, look at the bills the House has passed and where they are (stuck on McConnell's desk going nowhere) and get back to me when they start getting passed.... or when a Democratic President's Supreme Court nominee gets brought up for debate in the Senate (because that still won't happen even if the nominee is announced the year after the President is sworn in, if McConnell has his way).

Bloomberg: If you're reading this and you're thinking of voting for Bloomberg in the primary... I don't know what to say.  I guess I'll point out that he's a Republican who implemented a racist policing policy and only when he decided to run for the Democratic nomination did he begin to walk back that policy, that having walked it back a little he then lied during the debates and suggested that he had learned about the issues the policy was having and had decided on his own to change things (when in fact it was a court order due to a lawsuit), that he has spent tons of money getting Republicans into office, that he has been a part of the keep-women-quiet-through-NDAs culture and only when beaten over the head with it did he start to change the tune.... Putting it simply, his tagline should be "Bloomberg: The Other White Billionaire Racist with Sexual Skeletons in his Closet"

Sanders: His ending of the the last debate was spot on.  He's not as left as you may think.  He doesn't want to nationalize everything, just healthcare and prisons.  He wants to make college affordable, sure, but he's not trying to take over the college system.  He wants to reduce our footprint overseas.  He's also exciting to the younger crowd and the more liberal end of the Democratic base than Biden.  We need to excite the base and get out the vote this year!  There's no chance of winning over Trump supporters but there is a chance of people being excited enough about a candidate to come out to vote when they wouldn't otherwise.

Warren: Similar to Sanders, she's not as far left as you may think.  She and Sanders are pretty close in terms of the end-goal but she has plans to transition us to get there.  She's also against needless wars but hasn't really come out as strongly against overseas interventions as Sanders has.  Another similarity with Sanders?  She appears to have relatively broad support among the Democratic coalition that we need to excite and get to the polls.

It goes without saying, but I'll say it anyway... I would urge you to vote for Warren or Sanders (in that order).  Massachusetts' Secretary of State expects a higher-than-usual turnout tomorrow and I'm hoping that's true for all the Super Tuesday states... and that we paint the town Progressive as the polls suggest we might in most of them.

Thursday, February 20, 2020

Quick take on the 19-Feb-2020 Dem Presidential Debate

Quick rundown of the candidates' debate performance last night: 
 
  • Warren: Comes out of the box with a piledriver on Bloomberg. Later, "you get a punch, and you get a punch, and you get a punch..." to all her stage-mates... but never really takes her eye completely off her stage-neighbor, Bloomberg, and continues to pound away at him furiously. If you thought she had stopped being a fighter, you thought wrong.
  • Sanders: Same message as ever.  Was called a millionaire socialist with 3 houses as an insult and spent time explaining it, which was unfortunate but minor in the grand scheme of things. Sanders didn't go into the debate needing a big win though since he is in the lead and has momentum... all signs point to nothing having changed.
  • Biden: Had a surprisingly strong night given his performances for the last few months.  Not sure it was enough to salvage his campaign though.
  • Buttigieg: While everyone else starts by beating on Bloomberg, Buttigieg begins an attack on Bloomberg but before he actually lands the punch pivots and attacks Sanders. 
  • Klobuchar: Came out swinging against Bloomberg but then spent the rest of the debate driving back and forth between Mediocreville and Disappointing City... speaking of which...
  • Klobuchar & Buttigieg: Proved they're totally fine bickering and slamming each other repeatedly to the mat.  It's almost like they don't like each other much.
  • Bloomberg: Horrible, just horrible.  Showed that he's Trump with a "(D)" next to his name.
  • Steyer: Tried to say he was the good kind of billionaire... wait, no, he didn't make it into the debate.
  • Gabbard: Sir Also-Not-Appearing-On-This-Stage.

Sunday, February 16, 2020

Random Ranting On Ridiculousness Recently Received on 16-Feb-2020

This started off as a small FB post but evolved into something just slightly too long for that so...

I heard someone on the news just say that they believe it is God's will that Trump be President because if it weren't, God wouldn't have allowed it to happen... fair enough, then it was also God's will that Obama be President for 8 years, right? Also, does God's will in this way apply only to Presidents or is it all things? If it's all things, then there's no point to you discussing any of this since it's clearly God's will that the viewers of this MSNBC show and you will forever disagree, most likely on everything that comes out of your mouth. Let's say it's only Presidential elections that God intervenes in. How much do you want to bet that it won't be God's will when a Democrat comes to office and can we forego however long that takes and have you just hand over that bet money to me now?

Moments later in the discussion, this same person said that Trump was in office to allow the country a chance to "recover"... ok, recover from what? If it's God's will that whoever becomes President becomes President, was it not, therefore, God's will that Obama be President and was it not also God's will that everything that transpired did transpire in those 8 years? And in what way are we "recovering" right now? Were we not deporting enough people when Obama ramped up deportations during his Presidency? Did we not have enough support for racism and bigotry? Perhaps Obama wasn't vindictive enough and wasn't political enough when giving speeches in the well of the House or when giving press conferences?

Minutes after these points, the same person then said that there was an election and this was therefore the will of the people.  I'm SO tired of hearing that elections have consequences.  Where was this explanation coming from the Right in 2009 when the Tea Party was sprouting into existence and rallying against Obama, literally hanging effigies of him?  How does this defense work in tandem with the suggestion in 2012 and 2016 that the Right must "take back" the country?  "Take back" from who?  Also, not for nothing, but will of the people?  How is it the will of the people when "the people" vote for one person by 48.2 to 46.1 and the person with 46.1 percent becomes the President?  You can't say "the people" voted for this President when it was a minority of the "the people" who made the decision.

Ok, rant almost over, I promise.

The news piece was actually about how Trump is acting like an authoritarian leader in the way that he governs and the way that he behaves toward the news.  This is absolutely on-point.  The correspondents were pointing out that the news teams have an obligation to not just give both sides' talking points, not just sometimes say when one side is lying, but to tell the story so it is clear as day what is happening.  I'm not entirely sure how that was spun into "this President was elected by the people and it was God's will that that happen so suck it."  Really, I feel there's no answer that can be legitimately provided in response to this so the only answer to be provided is one that changes the narrative ... even if it is to something blatantly false like that the news media only lies about Trump (the first response provided in the discussion) or an explanation of "well, he's in office so it must be God's will" when asked "President Trump has said that it's God's will that he be President, do you agree".

Saturday, February 8, 2020

New Hampshire, here are your choices on Tuesday, 11-Feb-2020

All of your options boiled down to their most basic premise for why you should vote for them:


  • Michael Bennett - Not really sure why he's still here. He hasn't been on the debate stage lately and is a rather bland white straight male. Doesn't bring much to the table that other, more popular candidates don't.
  • Joe Biden - I'm the only one that's electable, though I can't excite enough people in Iowa to come in closer than 4th and the polls indicate that EVERY Democrat would beat Trump (note: polls also indicated Clinton would win... additional note: Clinton at least had people excited because she'd be the first woman President, what exactly excites people about Biden? Right, moving on). (oh, and I was VP for / and am friends with Obama, you remember him right?) (oh, and please forget all the things I've done as Senator or anything that you disagree with regarding Obama's presidency)
  • Cory Booker - No longer running, so... yeah
  • Mosemarie Boyd - Never actually heard of this person so if you want to throw out your vote, I guess this is as good an option as any... but you're New Hampshire and care about your role as a taste-tester, right?
  • Steve Bullock - No longer running so... yeah
  • Pete Buttigieg - I'm not conservative like Biden and I'm not liberal like Warren/Sanders... oh, and I don't get my campaign money by being the former Mayor of a relatively small city (I get my campaign money from my friends from my earlier job at a private equity company)
  • Julian Castor - No longer running... but has endorsed Warren, so if you wanted to vote for him, consider voting for her.
  • Roque De La Fuente III- Again, never actually heard of this person so if you want to throw out your vote blah blah. but you're New Hampshire and care about ... moving right along
  • John Delaney - No longer running so... yeah
  • Jason E Dunlap - Again, never heard of, well, you know the drill
  • Michael Ellinger - Never heard, oh come on, how many of these people are there?
  • Tulsi Gabbard - I swear I'm not the villain of this story...
  • Ben Gleiberman - Getting tired of saying that I've never heard of this person, but yeah, he's another one that's not running nationally...
  • Mark Stewart Greenstein - Maybe that's all I should say going forward... "not running nationally, are you a taste tester or not?"
  • Kamala Harris - Sadly, she is no longer running... if she were, though, she's a prosecutor and will ... would have prosecuted the case against Trump.
  • Henry Hewes - Not running nationally, are you a taste tester or not?
  • Amy Klobuchar - Like Buttigieg, I'm not conservative or liberal... unlike Buttigieg, I have experience and am a woman and have won in an election that's larger than one city.
  • Tom Koos - Not running nationally, are you a taste tester or not?
  • Lorenz Kraus - Not running nationally, are you a taste tester or not?
  • Rita Krichevsky - Not running nationally, are you a taste tester or not?
  • Raymond Moroz - Not running nationally, are you a... oh come on, really, for taste testers for the nation you're tasting a lot of things not being considered anywhere else.
  • Deval Patrick - I'm from a semi-liberal state and am friends with Obama... you remember Obama right?
  • Bernie Sanders - I'm so damn liberal that I wrote the damn bill. Seriously though, Sanders is pretty damn liberal... he's also an isolationist (up to you whether that's good or bad)
  • Joe Sestak - No longer running...
  • Sam Sloan - Not running nationand I give up
  • Tom Steyer - I'm a real billionaire, unlike Trump... so I can bring it to him in a way that no one else can... except maybe Bloomberg, but he's not on the ballet so voting for me is kind of like voting for him... except it's not because I'm much more liberal and not as tainted by time being NYC Mayor...
  • David John Thistle - A thistle in the side of anybody thinking that you should be helping widdle down the field for the rest of the nation...
  • Thomas Torgesan - Also not running nationally
  • Elizabeth Warren - Finally got to the woman with a plan... a liberal plan...
  • Robert Carr Wells Jr - Also not running nationally
  • Marianne Williamson - No longer running
  • Andrew Yang - We need a universal basic income so that people have enough money that they can spend some of their money on non-essential things ... you know, because then people can spend money on political campaigns.

Sunday, December 29, 2019

2020 Democratic Candidate Review (December edition)

As of now, there are 18 Democrats running (or thinking of running) for the Presidency.  Care to an (at least attempted) non-partisan review?

Before we get started, there are also 3 Republicans currently running: President Trump, Conservative Talk Show Host Joe Walsh, and former MA Governor Bill Weld.  It certainly doesn't matter that there's a race at the moment, but in the extremely unlikely scenario that Trump is removed from office, that race could become something, as I don't believe Pence enjoys the base support that Trump does... though he certainly fits the profile better than either Walsh or Weld.  That said, I expect Trump to be the candidate on the Republican side.

Alright, Democrats, let's see who we've got... but let's reduce the field to those that either made it to the debate stage in December, shall we? (Let me know if you'd like to see information on the two new candidates who weren't interested in getting in the race soon enough to matter in Iowa and New Hanpshire: Bloomberg and Patrick; or if you are interested in one of the many candidates who didn't make it to December's debate)

By last name, the list flows like this:
  • Former Vice President Biden
  • South Bend, IL Mayor Buttigieg
  • Senator Klobuchar (of Minnesota)
  • Senator Sanders (of Vermont)
  • Businessman Steyer
  • Senator Warren (of Massachusetts)
  • Tech Executive Yang
Another before we get started moment, if you don't mind... there are certain things that all, or most, of the candidates agree on.

They all support same-sex marriage and at least claim to be in favor of some form of universal healthcare, whether it be through expanding Medicare to be an option for anyone or by removing the current private insurance based system and replacing it with a Medicare-For-All option (they differ greatly in the span of those two options).  They also all agree that any one of them would be a significant improvement over Trump.  Alright, so, let's go through them and discuss some of the main points of their campaigns.

Former Vice President Biden
What more needs to be said about him that you don't already know?  He's a well known entity, from his moderate-ness to his tendency to commit gafs to his explanation that he's running because we have to defeat Trump.  He's essentially this year's 2016 Clinton except that he's not a woman and isn't as polished.  He's not as much a hawk as Clinton is (not saying much) but he's also not as liberal as Clinton is (which is saying something given that Clinton is a centrist).  He's liberal enough to support increased public transportation (both short distance and longer distance), support of renewable fuels, strong unions, and gun control.  That said, liberal credentials have not always been up to par with regards to women, wars, gay rights, internet privacy, and law enforcement.  While he has come around to believe in gay rights and says that the culture has changed in regards to how men treat women, these changes in his stated beliefs have come quite a while after the tide turned publicly. He wrote the Violence Crime Control and Law Enforcement Act of 1994, which increased prison sentences, built more prisons, and significantly helps to create the current situation of for-profit prisons.

South Bend, IL Mayor Buttigieg
Mayor Pete has been Mayor of South Bend for 7 years.  He fires back at opponents who question his level of experience saying that experience in DC should not be the only experience that counts.  I would fire back with, "that's fair to say but let's look at the experience you have then."  So... he's got 8 years as mayor of the 4th largest city in Indiana... 306th largest in the US overall, though it's the 103rd most densely populated city as of 2016.  He also has 8 years of experience in the armed forces, which overlap with his time as Mayor.  Are you kidding me with this crap?  There's a reason why nominees tend to be a little older than Buttigieg is (at the old old age of 37).  I agree that experience outside of DC matters... but I also think EXPERIENCE MATTERS... and Mayor Pete doesn't have it yet.
Ok, so, experience aside... let's look at what he's got in terms of values and persona:
What he has going for him: he's from the mid-West, which he claims gives him more electability than others that are from more liberal areas of the country... though he wasn't able to win a state-wide race for Treasurer in 2010.  He's gay, which gives him credentials as a repressed minority group.  And he's young (though his support mostly comes from older white people, younger people tend to support other candidates).
Yep, that's pretty much it.

Senator Klobuchar (of Minnesota)
Funny that I mention someone who didn't win a mid-Western state... let's turn to our next candidate on the list: Senator Amy Klobuchar who has won a state-wide election in a mid-Western state and has pointed this out on the debate stage when countering Buttigieg's claim to being the appropriate choice.  Klobuchar is solidly a moderate... and I really honestly didn't see much that was interesting enough to note as I went through notes on her.

Senator Sanders (of Vermont)
Ok, seriously, do you not know who he is and what he stands for?  Sanders has been around forever and has had the same stance on everything for the same amount of time.  He is solidly liberal.  He believes in healthcare for all by handing it over to the federal government and removing the for-profit insurance industry.  He believes we should raise taxes on the wealthy and help the lower and middle classes.  He understands that, as a white man, he needs to listen to those with different experiences than his.  His international policies are very isolationist and believes we have had history of making errors overseas.  Do I really need to go further into this?

Businessman Steyer
~sigh~ If you live in Massachusetts (probably because of New Hampshire), you've no doubt gotten tired of seeing Steyer on TV.  He's a businessman who got rich as a hedge fund capitalist.  He then, in 2012, moved on to advocate for alternative energy.  Steyer has made his main pledge as a Presidential candidate to make fighting climate change his number one issue.  He supports a "wealth tax" on the super rich and has suggested that he's in favor of increasing the count of judges on the Supreme Court.

Senator Warren (of Massachusetts)
Ok, but back to serious candidates.  Senator Warren holds many of the same stances as Sanders.  She's super interested in making the wealthiest americans pay more in taxes somehow.  She suggests that taxing wealth, rather than taxing income, is the more appropriate way to balance the playing field a bit.  She famously has a plan for everything.  She has made it a point to try to raise funds for her campaign from as many people as possible and without asking for money from millionaires and billionaires.  Buttigieg pointed out that Warren, herself, is fairly rich and so her campaign funding idea is, in his eyes, a faulty litmus test.  She is in favor of the Federal government funding more housing to try to deal with the affordable housing issues our cities across the nation are facing.  She's in favor of free public college (similar to how we have free public high schools).

Tech Executive Yang
Yang's big thing is that we need to transition to an economy where fewer people are working.  His thinking is that automation in the form of robots and software will reduce the need for workers throughout the economy and we shouldn't expect to be able to make up that difference with new employment opportunities.  Additionally, he feels that providing a bit of additional income above the income you earn from your job(s) will allow flexibility enough to allow for you to be more productive in your personal life and donate to causes you care about.  And finally, the stability that comes from having a basic income would allow people security and reduce stress.  I'm not confident this would all work.  It's a nice idea, but I have a variety of concerns... but let's assume that he's right that we should look at providing a Freedom Dividend for a moment.  His method for paying for it can tell you something about who he is and what he supports.  There are 4 ways he plans to pay for it, a regressive way, another regressive way, a hopeful way, a progressive way, and another progressive way.  He says there are 4, but there are really 5 because the last one is really 2 different methods.

  1. Some of it is paid for by the recipients already receiving a benefit that this would either replace or they would keep in place of the Freedom Dividend.  This is somewhat regressive in so far as it says that we're going to give money to everybody who doesn't currently require assistance from the government and everybody that currently relies on assistance will either receive nothing or, at best, less increased assistance.  So, people on food stamps get to choose between the Dividend and food stamps while people in the upper-middle class and upper class just get the Dividend?  *sigh* Great plan.
  2. Some of it is paid for by a Value Added Tax (VAT).  If you're unfamiliar with a VAT, think of a sales tax.  It's meant to be a tax at every step of creating a product, but it comes down to this: you're taxing things that people are purchasing.  Anytime you tax things people purchase roughly equivalently (instead of, say, taxing things like yachts or luxury cars differently from pre-packaged sandwiches) it's a regressive tax, costing lower income families more than it does higher income families as a percentage of their income.
  3. He believes that his Freedom Dividend would drive up demand because people would have more disposable income and therefore people would spend that disposable income.  This is likely to work to a degree but whether it works as well as he's hoping is another question.  This is a common plan whenever we provide money to the rich or middle class... it's the entirety of the idea behind trickle down economics.  In this case, though, you're giving money to the lower-middle class as well, so it may actually work to a degree... then again, those families may just stick it in their savings because they don't have enough going into their savings in the first place.  For the upper-middle class and upper class, it likely won't influence their spending habits too much as it pertains the general economy and therefore won't spur on as much growth as Yang is hoping for.
  4. He wants to tax the wealthy through "removing the Social Security cap, implementing a financial transactions tax, and ending the favorable tax treatment for capital gains/carried interest"
  5. He also wants to create a carbon tax.  I'm not sure if this is socio-economically progressive but it certainly is environmentally progressive.
A couple other things stand out about Yang:  He's very aware that nobody knows him (he appeared in a comedy clip where people were stopped in the street with him right there and asked if they would vote for an Asian American for President and all of them said yes but indicated they didn't know any were running).  He also very much plays into stereotypes (he loves to say he's an Asian who likes Math).  But really, what you need to know is he doesn't have much support in general (in November and December, he mostly has polled 3 or 5% among the Democratic field, never getting more than 6%) and his main topic of the Freedom Dividend.

My summary position:

  • Senator Warren and Senator Sanders are my top picks as they are the strongest and most liberal among the crowd.
  • Biden annoys me with his constant making of lists of 3 things.  Second, he's really not liberal.  Third, he's got some serious issues in his past.
  • Buttigieg is too young and should go get some experience instead of complaining that we don't count his enough.
  • Steyer sounds good on paper some of the time but he doesn't stand a chance.  He also seems to think that pointing out that Trump is not a successful businessman will actually turn people away from Trump, which is just simply not true.
  • Yang also talks a good talk but also doesn't stand a chance... and, while I appreciate the idea of giving people a financial buffer, I don't like the VAT approach to financing it and worry about not including a portion that is means tested.  Other politicians have complained about the idea of paying for college for any that choose to go to public college...  this is a far bigger deal than that.
  • Klobuchar is.  Really, she just is.  She's far too bland to win against Trump and she's far too moderate to be of any interest to me.

If you're interested in more information on any of the candidates...

https://www.politico.com/2020-election/candidates-views-on-the-issues/
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2019/us/politics/2020-presidential-candidates.html
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Political_positions_of_the_2020_Democratic_Party_presidential_primary_candidates
https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/politics/policy-2020/quiz-which-candidate-agrees-with-me/

Thursday, November 14, 2019

Republicans' Defense Against Impeachment...

So... let's just summarize the Republican talking points regarding the impeachment:
 
  • Republicans feel that the testimony being held behind closed doors during the initial grand jury testimony was wrong.  
    • You know, the testimony that is generally performed behind closed doors prior to a trial? The trial itself comes AFTER the person has been charged with a crime.  If the House votes to impeach the President, that vote is them charging the President with a crime.  
  • Republicans feel that it was important to let the President, or his lawyers, cross examine witnesses and face his accusers.  
    • It is typically after you have been charged with a crime that you cross examine the witnesses and have the right to face your accuser.  I've never heard "I want to face my accuser" as the response to being questioned by police before a charge is made.  So, again, slow your roll.
  • Republicans say that without the whistle blower coming forward, there is no way to judge the case.... oh, and that the whistle blower can't be believed because they don't have first-hand knowledge... I mean, if the latter is so critical, why does the former even matter?
    • First off, you also keep telling us to just read the transcript.  We did and that is essentially one of the witnesses.
    • Secondly, let's say there are 10 witnesses to a crime.  One of them talks to a friend and that friend goes to the cops to let them know the crime was committed.  If 7 of the 10 witnesses then get brought in by the cops and they testify to what they witnessed... what does anything about the friend matter?!?
  • Speaking of witnesses, Republicans are complaining that those coming forth now are still not close enough to the President... they're just the ambassador to Ukraine, and similar level,  who were directly going between the White House and Ukrainian officials
    • Ok, but you've told everybody with more direct connections to the President not to testify so how about you let them testify instead of saying "we don't think you're bringing enough of the evidence that we're withholding from you."
  • The President says there was nothing wrong
    • I'm amused by this but it can hardly be considered a surprise given that ...
      • virtually everybody has told him that it's wrong to accept political aid from a foreign power and yet he keeps saying that it's totally reasonable and that everybody does it.
      • he lies about everything.  The size of the crowd at his inauguration, how people behave around him (all those people crying during an event we have a video recording of which show NOBODY crying), whether he has reason to believe Russia tampered in the election (first he said he had no reason to believe they did and then he "clarified" that he meant to say "he had no reason to not believe they did"... yeah, that's a helpful clarification and one that's totally believable... you could have just said "I was just told x by Putin but believe my team" rather than "I was just told x by Putin and I have no reason to believe anything else")
  • Republicans point out that there can't be a quid pro quo because the Ukrainian President never ended up giving Trump what he wanted but we did end up giving Ukraine the funds.  Ok, this is the hardest one.  It's the most reasonable one I've heard... thus why I saved it for last.  It also happens to be the one I've heard the least, which tells you something about the messaging of the Republican party on this matter... why try a rationale response when you can lie or use irrational responses?... but let's try to figure this out, shall we?
    • Alright, so... if I go into a bank and pull out a gun and tell the bank teller to give me $1,000... and someone apprehends me... I still can be charged and convicted for attempted bank robbery.  My getting caught doing the illegal thing and prevented from getting the outcome I wanted doesn't prevent the illegal thing from happening in the first place.  Essentially, what I'm saying is that, even though Trump was essentially forced to send the money to Ukraine, the month that he had been directed by Congress to send to Ukraine... even though he sent it days before the Ukrainian President was scheduled to go on TV... the fact that he was caught doing this and forced to send the money doesn't stop us from recognizing that he was trying to do this. Interesting information on his being forced to release the money came out a few days ago: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-11-09/state-department-freed-ukraine-money-before-trump-says-he-did  In addition to this, the investigation into the situation started roughly at the same time as the Ukrainian President was scheduled to announce the investigation.